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Guides, explainers, and insights on converting between stock market indices, futures contracts, and ETFs.

Futures Basis Explained: Cost of Carry for Index Futures

Futures basis is the gap between ES and SPX driven by cost of carry — financing rate minus dividend yield. Learn the fair value formula, how basis decays to zero at expiration, what the roll costs you, and how to strip out carry to read pre-market direction correctly.

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How Many SPY Shares Equal One ES Futures Contract?

At SPX 5,500, one ES contract controls $275,000 in notional value — equivalent to roughly 500 shares of SPY. Walk through the exact math, see how it changes with market levels, and learn how to size your hedge using ES or MES contracts.

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SPX Gap vs ES Futures at Market Open: What Causes It

At 9:30 AM ET, SPX prints its first tick from individual stock opening auctions — not from ES. Learn why the cash index diverges from ES futures at the open, how the fair value formula predicts the gap, and what forces convergence within seconds.

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SPX Weekend Effect: Why Index Futures Move Friday to Monday

SPX closes Friday but ES futures keep trading until Sunday 5 PM ET and reopen Sunday at 6 PM — repricing every weekend news event before Monday's bell. Learn how the mechanical gap forms, how to read Sunday evening ES prices, and what the academic "weekend effect" actually means for modern markets.

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